SportsLine's model likely considers a range of factors including team performance, player statistics, matchups, and other variables to make predictions. However, without access to their specific model or data, I can't provide the exact predictions they've made for Game 1 of the Dallas Mavericks vs. OKC Thunder matchup in the 2024 NBA playoffs. You'd need to visit their website or consult their platform directly for that information.

Given the matchup history and the current state of both teams, here are some additional factors to consider:
1. Regular Season Series: The Thunder won the regular-season series against the Mavericks 3-1. While regular-season matchups can provide some insight into team dynamics, playoff basketball often brings out different strategies and intensity levels.
2. Home Court Advantage: Oklahoma City has a strong home record, winning 33 out of 41 regular-season games at the Paycom Center. The home crowd and familiar surroundings could give them an edge in Game 1.
3. Injury Impact: Maxi Kleber's absence due to a shoulder injury could affect the Mavericks' defensive rotations and overall lineup flexibility. Adjusting to his absence might pose a challenge for Dallas in Game 1.
4. Betting Trends: The Mavericks have hit the under in 41 of their last 63 games, indicating a tendency towards lower-scoring matchups. This could be a factor to consider when evaluating the over/under for total points in Game 1.
Ultimately, while the Thunder are favored according to the spread, the outcome of playoff games can be unpredictable. Factors such as momentum, individual player performances, and coaching adjustments can all play significant roles in determining the result. Fans can expect an exciting and competitive matchup between these two Western Conference teams in Game 1 of the NBA playoffs.


The Mavericks have strong offensive firepower, primarily led by Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, which could give them the ability to cover the spread in Game 1 against the Thunder. Here's why:

1. Luka Doncic's Playmaking: Doncic is a versatile player known for his exceptional passing ability and scoring prowess. As the team's leader in scoring, rebounds, and assists, he has the capability to impact the game in multiple ways. His ability to penetrate defenses and create scoring opportunities for himself and his teammates can keep the Mavericks competitive, even against tough opponents like the Thunder.

2. Kyrie Irving's Scoring Ability: Irving is a proven scorer with the skillset to take over games. With his smooth jumper and ability to create shots off the dribble, he poses a significant scoring threat for opposing defenses. In the playoffs, Irving has demonstrated his scoring prowess, averaging 26.5 points per game. His ability to knock down perimeter shots and attack the basket could help the Mavericks keep pace with the Thunder's offense.

3. Playoff Performance: Both Doncic and Irving have shown up in crucial playoff games, delivering strong performances when their team needs them the most. In Game 6 against the Clippers, Doncic put up impressive numbers, showcasing his ability to impact the game as a scorer and facilitator. Similarly, Irving's scoring output and clutch playmaking make him a valuable asset for the Mavericks in playoff situations.

Overall, the combination of Doncic's playmaking and scoring ability, along with Irving's scoring prowess, gives the Mavericks a chance to cover the spread in Game 1 against the Thunder. If both players can continue to perform at a high level, the Mavericks have a solid chance of keeping the game competitive and potentially pulling off an upset victory.


The Mavericks have a strong chance to cover the spread in Game 1 against the Thunder due to the exceptional playmaking and scoring abilities of their guards, Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving.

1. Luka Doncic's All-Around Game: Doncic is a dynamic player known for his versatility and basketball IQ. His outstanding passing ability allows him to create scoring opportunities for his teammates, while his knack for driving to the basket draws defenders and opens up space for his own scoring. Doncic's leadership on the court, coupled with his scoring, rebounding, and playmaking prowess, makes him a formidable force for the Mavericks. His recent performance in Game 6 against the Clippers, where he recorded 28 points, seven rebounds, and 13 assists, underscores his ability to impact the game in multiple facets.

2. Kyrie Irving's Scoring Prowess: Irving is a proven scorer with the ability to take over games with his smooth shooting stroke and crafty ball-handling skills. His scoring average of 26.5 points per game in the 2024 NBA playoffs highlights his ability to consistently put up points for the Mavericks. Irving's scoring ability, combined with his playoff experience and clutch performances, makes him a key contributor to the Mavericks' offensive success. His recent outing of 30 points, four assists, and five made 3-pointers demonstrates his ability to deliver when it matters most.

With Doncic and Irving leading the charge, the Mavericks have the offensive firepower to compete with the Thunder and potentially cover the spread in Game 1 of the playoffs. Their ability to create scoring opportunities and control the pace of the game will be crucial factors in determining the outcome of the matchup.

SportsLine's model is suggesting an Over bet on the total points, with a projection of 223 combined points for the Mavericks vs. Thunder matchup. Additionally, the model has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 60% of simulations.

For the most accurate and detailed pick, it's recommended to visit SportsLine directly. Their advanced model takes into account various factors and simulations to provide insights into the most favorable betting opportunities for each game.

Ultimately, while the model may suggest a certain pick, it's important to consider your own analysis and research before making any betting decisions. Factors such as recent team performance, player injuries, and matchup dynamics can all influence the outcome of the game.